Select Medical Holdings Stock Performance

SEM Stock  USD 15.05  0.05  0.33%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Select Medical holds a performance score of 8. The entity has a beta of 0.11, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Select Medical's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Select Medical is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Select Medical's expected short fall, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Select Medical's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Select Medical Holdings are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very uncertain technical and fundamental indicators, Select Medical displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
 
Select Medical dividend paid on 25th of November 2025
11/25/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow84 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-231 M

Select Medical Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,336  in Select Medical Holdings on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  164.00  from holding Select Medical Holdings or generate 12.28% return on investment over 90 days. Select Medical Holdings is generating 0.2075% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.925% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Select, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Select Medical is expected to generate 2.58 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.58 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Select Medical Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Select Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 15.05 90 days 15.05 
about 31.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Select Medical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 31.26 (This Select Medical Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Select Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Select Medical has a beta of 0.11. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Select Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Select Medical Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Select Medical Holdings has an alpha of 0.1917, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Select Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Select Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Select Medical Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Select Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0715.0016.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.7116.6418.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.4214.3516.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.7015.0915.49
Details

Select Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Select Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Select Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Select Medical Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Select Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Select Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Select Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Select Medical Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Select Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Select Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Select Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Select Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding124.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments59.7 M

Select Medical Fundamentals Growth

Select Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Select Medical, and Select Medical fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Select Stock performance.

About Select Medical Performance

By examining Select Medical's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Select Medical's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Select Medical is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Select Medical Holdings Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates critical illness recovery hospitals, rehabilitation hospitals, outpatient rehabilitation clinics, and occupational health centers in the United States. Select Medical Holdings Corporation was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Mechanicsburg, Pennsylvania. Select Medical operates under Medical Care Facilities classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 35900 people.

Things to note about Select Medical Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Select Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Select Medical Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Select Medical's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Select Medical's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Select Medical's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Select Medical's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Select Medical's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Select Medical's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Select Medical's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Select Medical's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Select Medical's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Select Medical's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Select Medical's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Select Medical Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Select Medical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Select Medical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Select Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Select Medical Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Select diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Select Medical. If investors know Select will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Select Medical data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Select Medical Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Select Medical's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Select Medical's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Select Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Select Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Select Medical's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.